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Boxscorus

NCAA

The Models

How Boxscorus predicts outcomes for every sport — and how well the models actually perform.

Deep Dive

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How It Works

The methodology behind Boxscorus predictions — why ELO, how the model is calibrated, and what goes into each sport's ratings.

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Sport Models

Brier ↓

Lower = more accurate

BSS ↑

Higher = better than baseline

AUC ↑

Higher = better discrimination

ECE ↓

Lower = better calibrated

Boxscorus • 2026