Sports Predictions
Know before the game.
Win probabilities and power rankings for MLB, college basketball, football, and the 2026 World Cup — updated daily.
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2026 Women's March Madness: Round 2 Results and Sweet 16 Predictions
Virginia knocked out Iowa. Michigan topped a 3-seed. One was a shock; one was not.
Greg Lamp · Mar 24, 2026
Latest Analysis
All analysis →ncaab
March Madness Week 1: Did the Model Know What It Was Doing?
52 games. Play-ins through Round 2. Real numbers.
Greg Lamp · Mar 23, 2026
ncaab
Does Our Model Know What It's Doing? Round 1 Calibration Report
32 games, real probabilities, no excuses
Greg Lamp · Mar 22, 2026
ncaab
NCAAB Wrapped: March 2026
The BXS model's two-week snapshot before the tournament field is set
Greg Lamp · Mar 8, 2026
soccer
Simulate the 2026 World Cup in Your Browser
48 teams. 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Every click recalculates the entire tournament.
Greg Lamp · Mar 5, 2026
MLB Power Rankings
Full rankings →| # | Team | W-L | BXS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dodgers | 8-2 | 1549 |
| 2 |  Yankees | 7-2 | 1534 |
| 3 |  Phillies | 6-4 | 1523 |
| 4 |  Mets | 6-4 | 1522 |
| 5 |  Brewers | 8-2 | 1520 |
NCAA Basketball Rankings
Full rankings →| # | Team | Record | BXS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan | 37-3 | 2017 |
| 2 | Duke | 35-3 | 1974 |
| 3 | Arizona | 36-3 | 1958 |
| 4 | Purdue | 30-9 | 1919 |
| 5 | Illinois | 28-9 | 1903 |
Women's Basketball Rankings
Full rankings →| # | Team | Record | BXS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCLA | 37-1 | 2018 |
| 2 | Texas | 35-4 | 1971 |
| 3 | South Carolina | 36-4 | 1967 |
| 4 | UConn | 38-1 | 1934 |
| 5 | LSU | 29-6 | 1910 |