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2026 Women's March Madness: Round 2 Results and Sweet 16 Predictions
Virginia knocked out Iowa. Michigan topped a 3-seed. One was a shock; one was not.
Greg Lamp · March 24, 2026
March Madness Week 1: Did the Model Know What It Was Doing?
52 games. Play-ins through Round 2. Real numbers.
Greg Lamp · Mar 23, 2026Does Our Model Know What It's Doing? Round 1 Calibration Report
32 games, real probabilities, no excuses
Greg Lamp · Mar 22, 2026NCAAB Wrapped: March 2026
The BXS model's two-week snapshot before the tournament field is set
Greg Lamp · Mar 8, 2026Simulate the 2026 World Cup in Your Browser
48 teams. 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Every click recalculates the entire tournament.
Greg Lamp · Mar 5, 2026Introducing BXS MLB v2
BXS meets expected runs: a smarter way to predict baseball
Greg Lamp · Feb 18, 2026NCAAB Wrapped: January 2026
The BXS model's first full month of conference play, and the rankings are already reshuffled
Greg Lamp · Jan 31, 2026Boxscorus Now Covers Women's College Basketball
Same BXS framework, different parameters, fitted to 11,700 WBB games
Greg Lamp · Jan 20, 2026How Our Soccer Predictions Work: BXS, Draws, and 10,000 Simulated Seasons
From a chess rating system to forecasting relegation across 34 leagues.
Greg Lamp · Dec 10, 2025Predicting Soccer Across 34 Leagues: How the BXS Model Handles Draws, Relegation, and 606 Teams
From the Premier League to the Ecuadorian Liga Pro, one model covers them all.
Greg Lamp · Nov 15, 2025How It Works
The methodology behind Boxscorus predictions
Greg Lamp · Jun 21, 2023