Features
Analysis, methodology, and insights
soccer
How the Boxscorus World Cup Simulator Actually Works
Rate 48 teams, roll real scorelines, and play the whole tournament 100,000 times. Here is the machine, one layer at a time.
Greg Lamp · June 7, 2026
2026 Women's March Madness: Round 2 Results and Sweet 16 Predictions
Virginia knocked out Iowa. Michigan topped a 3-seed. One was a shock; one was not.
Greg Lamp · Mar 24, 2026March Madness Week 1: Did the Model Know What It Was Doing?
52 games. Play-ins through Round 2. Real numbers.
Greg Lamp · Mar 23, 2026Does Our Model Know What It's Doing? Round 1 Calibration Report
32 games, real probabilities, no excuses
Greg Lamp · Mar 22, 2026NCAAB Wrapped: March 2026
The BXS model's two-week snapshot before the tournament field is set
Greg Lamp · Mar 8, 2026Simulate the 2026 World Cup in Your Browser
48 teams. 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Every click recalculates the entire tournament.
Greg Lamp · Mar 5, 2026Introducing BXS MLB v2
BXS meets expected runs: a smarter way to predict baseball
Greg Lamp · Feb 18, 2026NCAAB Wrapped: January 2026
The BXS model's first full month of conference play, and the rankings are already reshuffled
Greg Lamp · Jan 31, 2026Boxscorus Now Covers Women's College Basketball
Same BXS framework, different parameters, fitted to 11,700 WBB games
Greg Lamp · Jan 20, 2026How Our Soccer Predictions Work: BXS, Draws, and 10,000 Simulated Seasons
From a chess rating system to forecasting relegation across 34 leagues.
Greg Lamp · Dec 10, 2025Predicting Soccer Across 34 Leagues: How the BXS Model Handles Draws, Relegation, and 606 Teams
From the Premier League to the Ecuadorian Liga Pro, one model covers them all.
Greg Lamp · Nov 15, 2025How It Works
The methodology behind Boxscorus predictions
Greg Lamp · Jun 21, 2023