BOXSCORUS BXS-1
2026 FIFA World Cup
10,000 simulations · BXS forecast · June 11 – July 19, 2026
United States · Mexico · Canada
Who will win the World Cup?
Probability of reaching each round
TEAM
BXS
GROUP
GROUPS
R16
QF
SF
FINAL
CHAMPIONCHAMP
1
Spain
1789
2
France
1751
3
England
1719
4
Portugal
1705
5
Argentina
1710
6
Netherlands
1688
7
Germany
1685
8
Türkiye
1657
9
Belgium
1647
10
Croatia
1653
11
Mexico
1627
12
Brazil
1640
13
Switzerland
1612
14
Norway
1631
15
Austria
1609
16
Morocco
1599
17
Japan
1601
18
Senegal
1605
19
Ecuador
1579
20
Uruguay
1588
21
Colombia
1581
22
Ivory Coast
1575
23
Algeria
1567
24
Scotland
1574
25
Czechia
1556
26
Tunisia
1555
27
United States
1559
28
Egypt
1566
29
Australia
1554
30
South Korea
1551
31
Sweden
1546
32
Panama
1555
33
Canada
1542
34
South Africa
1524
35
Iraq
1530
36
Uzbekistan
1541
37
Haiti
1522
38
Congo DR
1534
39
Jordan
1531
40
Qatar
1515
41
Paraguay
1522
42
Cape Verde
1508
43
Saudi Arabia
1514
44
New Zealand
1504
45
Ghana
1506
46
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1497
47
Iran
1500
48
Curacao
1515
Group Stage
48 teams · 12 groups · Top 2 + 8 best 3rd advance
GROUP A
ADV%
Mexico
Czechia
South Korea
South Africa
GROUP B
ADV%
Switzerland
Canada
Qatar
Bosnia and Herzegovina
GROUP C
ADV%
Brazil
Morocco
Scotland
Haiti
GROUP D
ADV%
Türkiye
United States
Australia
Paraguay
GROUP E
ADV%
Germany
Ecuador
Ivory Coast
Curacao
GROUP F
ADV%
Netherlands
Japan
Tunisia
Sweden
GROUP G
ADV%
Belgium
Egypt
New Zealand
Iran
GROUP H
ADV%
Spain
Uruguay
Saudi Arabia
Cape Verde
GROUP I
ADV%
France
Norway
Senegal
Iraq
GROUP J
ADV%
Argentina
Austria
Algeria
Jordan
GROUP K
ADV%
Portugal
Colombia
Uzbekistan
Congo DR
GROUP L
ADV%
England
Croatia
Panama
Ghana
Knockout Bracket
32 teams · Single elimination · June 28 – July 19
R32
Czechia
52%Canada
48%Germany
93%BIH
7%Netherlands
70%Morocco
30%Brazil
59%Japan
41%France
94%New Zealand
6%Ecuador
42%Norway
58%Mexico
92%Senegal
8%England
98%Algeria
2%R16
Czechia
27%Germany
73%Netherlands
61%Brazil
39%France
74%Norway
26%Mexico
33%England
67%QF
Germany
39%Netherlands
61%France
66%England
34%SF
Netherlands
38%France
62%FINAL
France
44%Spain
56%🏆
SF
Spain
65%Argentina
35%QF
Türkiye
23%Spain
77%Argentina
53%Portugal
47%R16
Türkiye
51%Belgium
49%Croatia
21%Spain
79%Switzerland
32%Argentina
68%Portugal
77%USA
23%R32
Türkiye
94%Sweden
6%Belgium
89%South Korea
11%Colombia
40%Croatia
60%Spain
81%Austria
19%Switzerland
94%Tunisia
6%Argentina
69%Uruguay
31%Portugal
84%Panama
16%USA
49%Egypt
51%R32(16)
R16(8)
QF(4)
SF(2)
Final(1)
Czechia
52%Canada
48%Germany
93%Bosnia and Herzegovina
7%Netherlands
70%Morocco
30%Brazil
59%Japan
41%France
94%New Zealand
6%Ecuador
42%Norway
58%Mexico
92%Senegal
8%England
98%Algeria
2%Türkiye
94%Sweden
6%Belgium
89%South Korea
11%Colombia
40%Croatia
60%Spain
81%Austria
19%Switzerland
94%Tunisia
6%Argentina
69%Uruguay
31%Portugal
84%Panama
16%United States
49%Egypt
51%Probabilities based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations using BXS ratings derived from international match history. Updated after each match day.