BOXSCORUS BXS-1
2026 FIFA World Cup
10,000 simulations · BXS forecast · June 11 – July 19, 2026
United States · Mexico · Canada
Who will win the World Cup?
Probability of reaching each round
TEAM
BXS
GROUP
GROUPS
R16
QF
SF
FINAL
CHAMPIONCHAMP
1
Spain
1853
D
W
W
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
2
Argentina
1796
W
W
W
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
3
France
1797
W
W
W
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
4
England
1759
W
D
W
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
5
Belgium
1671
D
D
W
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
6
Norway
1666
W
W
L
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
7
Switzerland
1637
D
W
W
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
8
Morocco
1629
D
W
W
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
9
Portugal
1707
D
W
D
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
10
Mexico
1667
W
W
W
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
11
Brazil
1662
D
W
W
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
12
Colombia
1630
W
W
D
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
13
United States
1569
W
W
L
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
14
Egypt
1567
D
W
D
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
15
Canada
1538
D
W
L
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
16
Paraguay
1527
L
W
D
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
17
Netherlands
1705
D
W
W
✓
18
Germany
1681
W
W
L
✓
19
Croatia
1650
L
W
W
✓
20
Austria
1598
W
L
D
✓
21
Japan
1597
D
W
D
✓
22
Ivory Coast
1572
W
L
W
✓
23
Senegal
1572
L
L
W
✓
24
Ecuador
1568
L
D
W
✓
25
Australia
1564
W
L
D
✓
26
Algeria
1552
L
W
D
✓
27
Sweden
1545
W
L
D
✓
28
Congo DR
1526
D
L
W
✓
29
South Africa
1512
L
D
W
✓
30
Cape Verde
1511
D
D
D
✓
31
Ghana
1501
W
D
L
✓
32
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1490
D
L
W
✓
33
Türkiye
1630
L
L
W
✗
34
Uruguay
1572
D
D
L
✗
35
Iran
1569
D
D
D
✗
36
Scotland
1557
W
L
L
✗
37
South Korea
1543
W
L
L
✗
38
Czechia
1523
L
D
L
✗
39
Panama
1518
L
L
L
✗
40
Tunisia
1516
L
L
L
✗
41
Saudi Arabia
1509
D
L
D
✗
42
Uzbekistan
1504
L
L
L
✗
43
Iraq
1498
L
L
L
✗
44
Curacao
1497
L
D
L
✗
45
Jordan
1497
L
L
L
✗
46
Qatar
1490
D
L
L
✗
47
Haiti
1486
L
L
L
✗
48
New Zealand
1484
D
L
L
✗
Group Stage
48 teams · 12 groups · Top 2 + 8 best 3rd advance
GROUP A
GD
PTS
ADV%
Mexico
W
W
W
+6
9
✓
South Africa
L
D
W
-1
4
✓
South Korea
W
L
L
-1
3
✗
Czechia
L
D
L
-4
1
✗
GROUP B
GD
PTS
ADV%
Switzerland
D
W
W
+4
7
✓
Canada
D
W
L
+5
4
✓
Bosnia and Herzegovina
D
L
W
-1
4
✓
Qatar
D
L
L
-8
1
✗
GROUP C
GD
PTS
ADV%
Brazil
D
W
W
+6
7
✓
Morocco
D
W
W
+3
7
✓
Scotland
W
L
L
-3
3
✗
Haiti
L
L
L
-6
0
✗
GROUP D
GD
PTS
ADV%
United States
W
W
L
+4
6
✓
Australia
W
L
D
0
4
✓
Paraguay
L
W
D
-2
4
✓
Türkiye
L
L
W
-2
3
✗
GROUP E
GD
PTS
ADV%
Germany
W
W
L
+6
6
✓
Ivory Coast
W
L
W
+2
6
✓
Ecuador
L
D
W
0
4
✓
Curacao
L
D
L
-8
1
✗
GROUP F
GD
PTS
ADV%
Netherlands
D
W
W
+6
7
✓
Japan
D
W
D
+4
5
✓
Sweden
W
L
D
0
4
✓
Tunisia
L
L
L
-10
0
✗
GROUP G
GD
PTS
ADV%
Belgium
D
D
W
+4
5
✓
Egypt
D
W
D
+2
5
✓
Iran
D
D
D
0
3
✗
New Zealand
D
L
L
-6
1
✗
GROUP H
GD
PTS
ADV%
Spain
D
W
W
+5
7
✓
Cape Verde
D
D
D
0
3
✓
Uruguay
D
D
L
-1
2
✗
Saudi Arabia
D
L
D
-4
2
✗
GROUP I
GD
PTS
ADV%
France
W
W
W
+8
9
✓
Norway
W
W
L
+1
6
✓
Senegal
L
L
W
+2
3
✓
Iraq
L
L
L
-11
0
✗
GROUP J
GD
PTS
ADV%
Argentina
W
W
W
+7
9
✓
Austria
W
L
D
0
4
✓
Algeria
L
W
D
-2
4
✓
Jordan
L
L
L
-5
0
✗
GROUP K
GD
PTS
ADV%
Colombia
W
W
D
+3
7
✓
Portugal
D
W
D
+5
5
✓
Congo DR
D
L
W
+1
4
✓
Uzbekistan
L
L
L
-9
0
✗
GROUP L
GD
PTS
ADV%
England
W
D
W
+4
7
✓
Croatia
L
W
W
0
6
✓
Ghana
W
D
L
0
4
✓
Panama
L
L
L
-4
0
✗
Knockout Bracket
32 teams · Single elimination · June 28 – July 19
R32
Germany
1 (3)
Paraguay
1 (4)
France
3
Sweden
0
RSA
0
Canada
1
Netherlands
1 (2)
Morocco
1 (3)
Portugal
2
Croatia
1
Spain
3
Austria
0
USA
2
BIH
0
Belgium
3
Senegal
2
R16
Paraguay
0
France
1
Canada
0
Morocco
3
Portugal
0
Spain
1
USA
1
Belgium
4
QF
France
2
Morocco
0
Spain
2
Belgium
1
SF
France
0
Spain
2
FINAL
Spain
58%Argentina
42%🏆
SF
England
1
Argentina
2
QF
Norway
1
England
2
Argentina
3
Switzerland
1
R16
Brazil
1
Norway
2
Mexico
2
England
3
Argentina
3
Egypt
2
Switzerland
0 (4)
Colombia
0 (3)
R32
Brazil
2
Japan
1
Ivory Coast
1
Norway
2
Mexico
2
Ecuador
0
England
2
Congo DR
1
Argentina
3
Cape Verde
2
Australia
1 (2)
Egypt
1 (4)
Switzerland
2
Algeria
0
Colombia
1
Ghana
0
R32(16)
R16(8)
QF(4)
SF(2)
Final(1)
Spain
58%Argentina
42%Probabilities based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations using BXS ratings derived from international match history. Updated after each match day.