BOXSCORUS BXS-1
2026 FIFA World Cup
2,000 simulations · BXS forecast · June 11 – July 19, 2026
United States · Mexico · Canada
Who will win the World Cup?
Probability of reaching each round
TEAM
BXS
GROUP
GROUPS
R16
QF
SF
FINAL
WIN IT ALL
1
England
1730
2
France
1721
3
Belgium
1693
4
Netherlands
1670
5
Switzerland
1662
6
Croatia
1669
7
Spain
1682
8
Argentina
1662
9
Brazil
1651
10
Colombia
1654
11
Germany
1646
12
Portugal
1634
13
Norway
1629
14
Algeria
1607
15
Morocco
1600
16
Austria
1585
17
Japan
1585
18
Senegal
1567
19
South Korea
1557
20
Tunisia
1560
21
Iran
1500
22
Uruguay
1598
23
South Africa
1550
24
Scotland
1535
25
United States
1534
26
Australia
1538
27
Uzbekistan
1534
28
Ecuador
1544
29
TBD-UEFA-A
1500
30
Ivory Coast
1542
31
Egypt
1504
32
Mexico
1517
33
Curacao
1484
34
Cape Verde
1528
35
TBD-UEFA-B
1500
36
Canada
1523
37
Saudi Arabia
1478
38
TBD-UEFA-D
1500
39
Ghana
1469
40
Paraguay
1488
41
TBD-ICP-1
1500
42
TBD-UEFA-C
1500
43
Jordan
1490
44
Panama
1433
45
New Zealand
1454
46
TBD-ICP-2
1500
47
Qatar
1452
48
Haiti
1487
Group Stage
48 teams · 12 groups · Top 2 + 8 best 3rd advance
GROUP A
ADV%
South Korea
South Africa
Mexico
TBD-UEFA-D
GROUP B
ADV%
Switzerland
Canada
TBD-UEFA-A
Qatar
GROUP C
ADV%
Brazil
Morocco
Scotland
Haiti
GROUP D
ADV%
United States
Australia
TBD-UEFA-C
Paraguay
GROUP E
ADV%
Germany
Ecuador
Ivory Coast
Curacao
GROUP F
ADV%
Netherlands
Japan
Tunisia
TBD-UEFA-B
GROUP G
ADV%
Belgium
Egypt
Iran
New Zealand
GROUP H
ADV%
Spain
Uruguay
Cape Verde
Saudi Arabia
GROUP I
ADV%
France
Norway
Senegal
TBD-ICP-2
GROUP J
ADV%
Argentina
Algeria
Austria
Jordan
GROUP K
ADV%
Colombia
Portugal
Uzbekistan
TBD-ICP-1
GROUP L
ADV%
England
Croatia
Ghana
Panama
Knockout Bracket
32 teams · Single elimination · June 28 – July 19
R32
Mexico
48%Canada
52%Germany
88%TBD-UEFA-D
12%Netherlands
66%Morocco
34%Brazil
67%Japan
33%France
90%Scotland
10%Ecuador
32%France
68%South Korea
79%Cape Verde
21%England
87%Uzbekistan
13%R16
Mexico
28%Germany
72%Netherlands
55%Brazil
45%France
91%Ecuador
9%South Korea
20%England
80%QF
Germany
33%Netherlands
67%France
62%England
38%SF
Netherlands
41%France
59%FINAL
France
59%Belgium
41%🏆
SF
Belgium
67%Colombia
33%QF
Belgium
57%Spain
43%Switzerland
53%Colombia
47%R16
Australia
18%Belgium
82%Croatia
41%Spain
59%Switzerland
53%Argentina
47%Colombia
69%USA
31%R32
Australia
73%TBD-UEFA-A
27%Belgium
91%Senegal
9%Portugal
41%Croatia
59%Spain
67%Algeria
33%Switzerland
86%Egypt
14%Argentina
63%Uruguay
37%Colombia
82%Ghana
18%USA
51%Iran
49%Probabilities based on 2,000 Monte Carlo simulations using BXS ratings derived from international match history. Updated after each match day.