BOXSCORUS BXS-1
2026 NCAA Women's Tournament Predictions
Forecasts powered by BXS ratings and Monte Carlo simulations.
1st Round
2nd Round
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final Four
Championship
Final Four
Elite 8
Sweet 16
2nd Round
1st Round
Fort Worth 1
1
UConn
90
16
UTSA
52
8
Iowa St.
63
9
Syracuse
72
5
Maryland
99
12
Murray St.
67
4
N. Carolina
82
13
Western Ill.
51
6
Notre Dame
79
11
Fairfield
60
3
Ohio St.
75
14
Howard
54
7
Illinois
66
10
Colorado
57
2
Vanderbilt
102
15
High Point
61
1
UConn
98
9
Syracuse
45
5
Maryland
66
4
N. Carolina
74
6
Notre Dame
83
3
Ohio St.
73
7
Illinois
57
2
Vanderbilt
75
1
UConn
63
4
N. Carolina
42
6
Notre Dame
67
2
Vanderbilt
64
1
UConn
70
6
Notre Dame
52
1
UConn
Fort Worth 3
1
Texas
87
16
Missouri St.
45
8
Oregon
70
9
Virginia Tech
60
5
Kentucky
71
12
James Madison
56
4
West Virginia
82
13
Miami OH
54
6
Alabama
68
11
Rhode Island
55
3
Louisville
72
14
Vermont
52
7
NC State
76
10
Tennessee
61
2
Michigan
83
15
Holy Cross
48
1
Texas
100
8
Oregon
58
5
Kentucky
74
4
West Virginia
73
6
Alabama
68
3
Louisville
69
7
NC State
63
2
Michigan
92
1
Texas
76
5
Kentucky
54
3
Louisville
52
2
Michigan
71
1
Texas
77
2
Michigan
41
1
Texas
1
✓UCLA
99%
1
South Carolina
Championship
Chance of Winning Tournament
UCLA
Sacramento 2
1
UCLA
50%1
UCLA
70
3
Duke
58
1
UCLA
80
4
Minnesota
56
3
Duke
87
2
LSU
85
1
UCLA
87
8
Oklahoma St.
68
5
Ole Miss
63
4
Minnesota
65
6
Baylor
46
3
Duke
69
7
Texas Tech
47
2
LSU
101
1
UCLA
96
16
California Baptist
43
8
Oklahoma St.
82
9
Princeton
68
5
Ole Miss
81
12
Gonzaga
66
4
Minnesota
75
13
Green Bay
58
6
Baylor
67
11
Nebraska
62
3
Duke
81
14
Col. of Charleston
64
7
Texas Tech
57
10
Villanova
52
2
LSU
116
15
Jacksonville
58
Sacramento 4
1
✓S. Carolina
50%1
S. Carolina
78
3
TCU
52
1
S. Carolina
94
4
Oklahoma
68
3
TCU
79
10
Virginia
69
1
S. Carolina
101
9
Southern California
61
5
Mich. St.
71
4
Oklahoma
77
6
Washington
59
3
TCU
62
10
Virginia
83
2
Iowa
75
1
S. Carolina
103
16
Southern U.
34
8
Clemson
67
9
Southern California
71
5
Mich. St.
65
12
Colorado St.
62
4
Oklahoma
89
13
Idaho
59
6
Washington
72
11
S. Dakota St.
54
3
TCU
86
14
UC San Diego
40
7
Georgia
73
10
Virginia
82
2
Iowa
58
15
FDU
48
First Four
fort-worth-3 · 16-seed
16
Missouri St.
16
SFA
sacramento-2 · 11-seed
11
Nebraska
11
Richmond
sacramento-4 · 16-seed
16
Southern U.
16
Samford
sacramento-4 · 10-seed
10
Virginia
10
Arizona St.