2026 NCAA Women's Tournament Predictions
Forecasts powered by BXS ratings and Monte Carlo simulations.
1st Round
2nd Round
Sweet 16
Elite 8
Final Four
Championship
Final Four
Elite 8
Sweet 16
2nd Round
1st Round
region1
1
UCLA
94%16
Chattanooga / Howard
8
Iowa St.
53%9
Virginia Tech
47%5
Kentucky
71%12
Rice
29%4
Notre Dame
70%13
SD State
30%6
Texas Tech
58%11
BYU
42%3
Louisville
79%14
Green Bay
21%7
Mich. St.
61%10
Clemson
39%2
Duke
77%15
Fairfield
23%1
UCLA
79%8
Iowa St.
21%5
Kentucky
54%4
Notre Dame
46%6
Texas Tech
43%3
Louisville
57%7
Mich. St.
42%2
Duke
58%1
UCLA
69%5
Kentucky
31%3
Louisville
50%2
Duke
50%1
UCLA
64%3
Louisville
36%1
UCLA
51%region2
1
UConn
94%16
FDU
6%8
Southern California
53%9
Oregon
47%5
Minnesota
69%12
Vermont
31%4
Oklahoma
76%13
Ball St.
24%6
Villanova
56%11
Princeton
44%3
Iowa
81%14
UC Irvine
19%7
Baylor
53%10
Tennessee
47%2
Michigan
85%15
Abilene Christian
15%1
UConn
76%8
Southern California
24%5
Minnesota
44%4
Oklahoma
56%6
Villanova
41%3
Iowa
59%7
Baylor
38%2
Michigan
62%1
UConn
63%4
Oklahoma
37%3
Iowa
49%2
Michigan
51%1
UConn
59%2
Michigan
41%1
UConn
49%1
UCLA
50%
1
Texas
50%
Championship
Chance of Winning Tournament
50%UCLA
Hover over a team to see their
path to the championship.
region3
1
S. Carolina
48%1
S. Carolina
58%2
TCU
42%1
S. Carolina
68%4
N. Carolina
32%3
West Virginia
51%2
TCU
49%1
S. Carolina
75%8
Illinois
25%5
NC State
45%4
N. Carolina
55%6
Ole Miss
43%3
West Virginia
57%7
Colorado
40%2
TCU
60%1
S. Carolina
91%16
Lindenwood
9%8
Illinois
51%9
Georgia
49%5
NC State
65%12
Louisiana Tech
35%4
N. Carolina
72%13
Idaho
28%6
Ole Miss
58%11
James Madison
42%3
West Virginia
80%14
Col. of Charleston
20%7
Colorado
56%10
Kansas
44%2
TCU
82%15
McNeese
18%region4
1
Texas
52%1
Texas
55%2
LSU
45%1
Texas
62%4
Vanderbilt
38%3
Ohio St.
41%2
LSU
59%1
Texas
75%8
Alabama
25%5
Maryland
41%4
Vanderbilt
59%6
Oklahoma St.
42%3
Ohio St.
58%7
Washington
30%2
LSU
70%1
Texas
94%16
Alabama A&M / Chowan
8
Alabama
58%9
Richmond
42%5
Maryland
63%12
S. Dakota St.
37%4
Vanderbilt
78%13
Murray St.
22%6
Oklahoma St.
60%11
Kansas St.
40%3
Ohio St.
78%14
Gonzaga
22%7
Washington
59%10
Syracuse
41%2
LSU
90%15
Jacksonville
10%